Having just had surgery, I was advised by the docs to call my hernia a 'sports hernia' because it sounds better. Minnesota's D could give Rodgers a hard time, and Green Bay will have trouble racking up points.
I see this one in the category. Green Bay -3 at events at Minnesota. You saw the way I thought the score might go, but even if I'm wrong, I think the Pack can win this one by a touchdown. But they did that on the road, and since all their games feel like road games to them, I've picked them for the upset. I think the Bucs win this one, but I see too many scenarios where they don't to make this anything but an outside flutter.
You might prefer Atlanta at Miami , which seems a big spread, but the Falcons are going to win this one, Jay Cutler's going to see some pain, and two touchdowns isn't unreasonable. OK, I get it. The Broncos' strong defense will be too much for the Giants. Join today View market. Denver to pile on more misery for Giants Best Bet: Pack can edge it against the Vikes Value Bet: Green Bay -3 at events at Minnesota You saw the way I thought the score might go, but even if I'm wrong, I think the Pack can win this one by a touchdown.
Bucs make for an exciting outside flutter Outside Bet: Mike Carlson 13 October In fact, the Packers are two last-minute rallies away from being with losses to the Bengals and Cowboys.
As always, it's our duty to point out that changes in betting lines and public picking trends may have happened since this post was published, all of which could change the Week 6 landscape. To get the latest data and our full list of recommended picks for your specific pool, check out our Football Pool Picks. Last week looked fraught with peril for survivor pool players, and it more than delivered on those expectations.
For the fourth week out of five, the survivor picks we recommended to our premium customers did better than the public. The Broncos and the Texans are running neck and neck as the most popular survivor picks of Week 6. At percent popularity and coming off a bye, Denver is the second-safest pick of the week according to the betting markets after Atlanta , though our models are a bit more optimistic about Denver's chances. On the downside, Denver has several solid matchups coming up later in the season, as they are also the most likely winner of Week 14 when they host the Jets.
If you're in a bigger pool that could last the whole season, that's a concern. Whether that popularity is warranted is another story, as Houston is only the fourth-safest pick of the week according to the betting markets, and the Texans also have the most future value out of the four most popular picks. A prime matchup at home against Indianapolis coming up relatively soon in Week 9 is of particular note, as Houston should be the biggest favorite of that week by a decent margin.
The interesting thing about the Falcons is that given the dynamics of the NFL schedule, Atlanta has less future value than most people probably would think. First, this week is their most likely win for the rest of the season. Second, while the Falcons do have several other games with high win odds coming up, those games mostly come in weeks where there are other viable options as survivor picks.
Like Denver and Atlanta, Washington is yet another a team coming off a bye week and playing at home against a weaker opponent. However, the Redskins are not as good of a team as Denver, Houston, or Atlanta. In addition, San Francisco has come very close to upsetting several teams on the road this season, including taking both the Cardinals and Colts to overtime in Weeks 4 and 5.
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