Tyron Woodley (c) vs. Darren Till for the UFC welterweight title
Can Mark Hunt stop takedowns? Is he basically impossible to do weird chokes on due to his neck fat, as Oleinik says? Mark Hunt by TKO, round 2. Hunt has proven he can survive on the ground and make things ugly for grapplers like him, but this also ignores the fact that Oleinik has to close the distance first. He might be up there in age, but this is a fight that he should be able to ace. Mark Hunt by violence, round 2.
Oliynyk is essentially an IQ test at this point. If you do literally anything else… Mark Hunt via KO, round 1. Bissell, Nick, Harry, Stephie. Niki Thrillz is back. Nikita Krylov by submission, round 2. Krylov is a potent finisher and definitely the superior athlete, but relies heavily on opponents being intimidated by his whirlwind offense on the feet, and specifically his weird kicks. He can be pushed back by more functional strikers Tybura and when he is going backwards his defense is nonexistent.
Jab, body kick, Jan Blachowicz by unanimous decision. That and the fact that his technique has improved by leaps and bounds since his time away from the UFC. Nikita Krylov by headkick KO, round 2. But, the new Jan tends to fight consistently behind a powerful jab and backs it up with a nice counter game. Krylov is better controlled than he used to be, but is still largely a wild kicker standing without much defense and a mediocre wrestler and poor grappler.
I think Jan can pump the jab, hit a couple counters, force a bad shot, and tap Nikki Thrillz out, as much as I hate to say it. Jan Blachowicz via submission round 1.
Arlovski was reasonably competitive with Tai Tuivasa, and has enough craftiness to prevent Abdurakhimov from taking an unbearably ugly fight. Andrei Arlovski by unanimous decision. Abdurakhimov fights ugly, and he can start to plod around in spots. Arlovski still has good movement and handspeed, which should serve him well here. Andrei Arlovski by decision. Shamil Abdurakhimov by decision. Alves is gonna have a rough night.
Alexey Kunchenko by decision. It may be slow right until the end, but my guess is Kunchenko will find a powerful right hand counter and put Alves out. Alexey Kunchenko via KO, round 2. His striking consists largely of leg and body kicks combined with a winging overhand right. It works fine if he can follow it up with wrestling, but when he gets stuffed he quickly ends up looking lost standing and a bit winded.
Khalid Murtazaliev via TKO round 2. Harry, Fraser, TimStaff picking Murtazaliev: Petr Yan by something violent, round 1. Yan is the kind of UFC signing that makes me act straight up ignant. Petr Yan by whatever the hell this is. Petr Yan via KO, round 1. I know that on paper Khabilov should have the physical and wrestling advantages here, but I smell an upset.
Kajan might be able to fluster him standing and start to do damage. Reckless underdog pick incoming. Till's weight issues have been well-documented and with the contracted weight being pounds, the Liverpool fighter may find his conditioning in question because of what has always been anticipated as a brutal weight cut. Woodley is well aware of this and will likely drag the fight into the later rounds and take full advantage of Till's questionable cardio to polish off his opponent.
Till is dangerous; he's huge for the division, he can swarm and bury opponents with volume and has the strength to hurt them when he gets them up against the fence and covering up. That being said, I wasn't overly impressed with what he did against Stephen Thompson and I think Woodley is too cerebral, too seasoned and too tactical to fall here.
Till values greatness more than money. In my eyes, this fight comes down to how Till looks IF he makes weight. Talking to him last week, the weight cut for this bout appeared to be horrific.
There's no way he's going to be percent if he comes in at pounds. Woodley will use his wrestling and make it a long a night for Till. Andrade is a giant at strawweight and continues to mow down anyone not named Joanna Jedrzejczyk. She's just too physical for most opponents and possesses a relentless style in which she refuses to take a step back. Kowalkiewicz is a solid striker but doesn't possess the power to keep the hulking Andrade off her for 15 minutes.
I think this one ends up looking a lot like Kowalkiewicz's loss to Claudia Gadelha where she was overwhelmed right out of the chute by an ultra-aggressive Brazilian. While I'm not sure Andrade will get a quick submission, there is a very real possibility she'll swarm with strikes. Win tickets to a major fight — find out how. This is a battle between two former title challengers who look to be going in different directions.
Andrade is coming off a stellar performance over Tecia Torres in July; a victory at UFC should get her another crack at the title. Davis will serve as little more than cannon fodder for the surging Russian. It won't take long for Magomedshapirov to impose his will and have a highlight-reel finish against Davis, who should get praise for taking the fight on short notice.
He should roll in this one. If Davis hadn't taken the fight on short notice, he would have had a better chance to win. He still wouldn't win, though. Magomedsharipov is a savage and will wreck Davis. Rivera was exposed by Marlon Moraes in his last fight and Dodson possesses a similar skill set when it comes to explosiveness, speed and power.
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