Expert Pick Against the Spread
Playoff teams who were pretty unanimously ranked very lowly bottom 10 or near bottom 10 at the start of the season: Colts, Vikings, Seahawks, Redskins. Why would the 49ers be ranked mediocrely coming off an NFC Championship appearance? I remember them having tons of respect and being near the top of power rankings before last season.
And at the beginning of last season , they were coming off of an NFC Championship appearance the prior season You don't usually expect a top 4 team at the end of one season to be ranked so average in the next season whether or not it is justified.
It was the Alex Smith phenomenon again. He had sucked for all those years before Harbaugh showed up, had a great ,, and a lot of analysts thought that he would be back to form in That said, it was only some groups. Some folks had them substantially lower. Check out this Bleacher Report one with them ranked at They were personally my pick to win it all.
And I don't think anyone ever really saw the Eagles, Bears, or Cowboys as serious contenders. To be fair, the Bears did win 10 games. It's not like they completely crapped the bed the way that, say, the Lions did.
The Texans will always have a special place in my heart because of this season. It's been a bonding experience with you guys. Panthers are my second my favorite team, but even though, we can still be pals. I feel so torn, but it's ok. I've felt torn a lot this season. You could probably buy the team from JJ and, ironically, be a better GM thus building a roster that goes on to win it all. You must be talking to Cowboys fans. I haven't heard anyone anywhere say that in years.
Our offense is one of the best just untimely turnovers because our defense can't handle shit. Yeah, I'm getting tired of people predicting the Falcons making it to the Super Bowl. Peter King two years ago, a bunch of people last year and this year.
It just makes it more heart breaking. I'd rather stay under the radar and come out of nowhere. There are like 6 redditors I can name who have been here the last 3 seasons. We start winning and these guys come out of the woodworks Just like our Superbowl run. All of a sudden everybody had some cardinals red on. That's what happens when everybody in town is from somewhere else though.
Can confirm i live in AZ now and durin that superbowl run at the beginning of the season not many visual fans but when the super bowl came up geez every person was a cardinal fan in this state I was all like oh im a saints fan, nothing to do here Would you guys go easy on Kap?
We just got Kap's confidence back up in D. I would love to see the rams go and get the wild though.. I'm keeping my small probabilities. Rams smoke the Colts, it's one of those "Any given Sunday I guess Teams that, on paper, are much better than the Rams have a tendency to implode and turn into bad teams after we beat them.
You've got a lot of good pieces though; and Washington's 1 draft pick - and they're playing terrible. You guys should playoff contenders soon. They've been a lot better since he went down. Not sure how related that is at all, but it might make them rethink his cap hit. The only real relevance is that Stacy emerged as a legit RB immediately after Bradford went down.
Those two on the same team will give defences fits. Nail on the head. Bradford didn't get to play with the compact wrecking ball, he got mediocre Daryl. It's more so that we discovered the run game. Schottenheimer figured out how to use Tavon. Our front 4 on defense have been phenomenal since that game, and shotty is running the ball more now that bradford is gone which is proving to work. If he keeps this playbook scheme when bradford is back they'll be a hell of a team.
Bradford going down around the same time schotty decided to pull his head out of his ass and utilize Stacy and Austin have helped. Also our defense woke up.
Takes some convincing and a fairly lengthy argument though to prove my case: Houston-Atlanta was my pick too. I'd much prefer to see these picks than the boring "Broncos vs Seahawks" picks most writers made. I get that the Broncos and Seahawks looked like two of the best teams coming into the season, but I think it's pretty rare that the two best teams at any point of the season make it to the Super Bowl. I remember reading an NFL. If I win, everyone is amazed, and I get tons of winnings.
This has nothing to do with how terrible you are. It has to do with how terrible Adam Schein is. I hate him so much. Wtf are you talking about? Predicting the Falcons were going to do well this year did not make you an asshole. I don't believe he is an elite, upper-echelon quarterback. The Panthers have finished under.
His teammates have yet to vote him captain. That tells me something. Newton still needs to grow up. Where are the Panthers strong? They lack depth at receiver. It's not a great offensive line. But this defense still has more holes than Swiss cheese.
Here's the other ultra-important issue: Carolina clearly has the worst roster in the division. Cam Newton isn't focused enough -- or good enough -- to overcome the obstacles he'll face in this competitive division.
It is hilarious how much the talking heads have been jumping on the Camwagon now that the Panthers are winning close games. These're the same guys who'd been claiming for more than a year that Cam Newton was some sort of felonious, immature raging manchild who's Not a Leader.
I just realized that Cam is only in his third year. Even in the preseason game against the Ravens I thought, "Is our O-line that bad? Or is their defense really sick? God damn that Kuukuchelly guy. I'm not familiar with him but is this really that bad of a prediction? I don't think many people predicted either team to fall apart like they did. I hope Schaub stays healthy this season. Maybe Keenum can get some time under center to acclimate him to the NFL.
I'm not in denial or anything. Next thing you'll tell me that Foster won't be an all-pro this season! Man you guys are so delusional it's hillarious! Nah man people are telling me this won' be the first season since his rookie year that Cushing will stay healthy and be considered for defensive MVP!
Yeah, Ed Reed is going to give the Texans a whole new appreciTion for the phrase "pick 6". Don't forget Earl Mitchell becoming a household name with his continuation of stellar pre-season play.
To be amish, I believe that OP was more stating that these "predictions" are often really just crazy toss-up guesses, I don't think he was really pointing out that you guys suck.
I think if you go back to August, that doesn't seem so far fetched. Especially based on last years' results. In November , New Jersey voters had overwhelmingly approved a referendum to legalize Las Vegas-style sports betting at racetracks and casinos across the state. The move made sense to many in New Jersey, where ailing gaming and racing industries were causing financial strain.
District Judge Michael Shipp ruled in favor of the leagues. But the state didn't give up. Once again, the leagues sued and won. The case is headed to the Third Circuit Court of Appeals this spring. Through it all, Silver has remained steadfast that legal sports gambling should be addressed first on the federal, not state, level. But the timing of the op-ed allowed him to address another seeming hypocrisy: The NBA deal also included an equity stake in the company.
So it is, then, that for now, at least, Silver seems comfortable standing alone as the only acting U. But that's not to say he and the NBA are the only ones re-examining their approach.
Regardless of public positioning, all the leagues are actively planning for a new gambling reality. In September , the NFL convened a forum in collaboration with other pro leagues, the International Olympic Committee and the NCAA to discuss best practices, law enforcement resources and the gambling industry.
Included in the forum, which wasn't open to the public, were talks with law enforcement officials, gaming regulators, addiction specialists and even a former student-athlete caught up in sports gambling. There also have been other, more private confabs involving high-ranking advisers to the leagues. In those meetings, sources with direct knowledge say, contingency plans were formed in preparation for the day sports betting is legal outside of Nevada.
When asked about the support he's getting from other leagues, Silver says, "I have talked to the commissioners in the other leagues about it, and I leave it to them to make any public statements they want to make on it. I will say that certainly all of them The illegal market across sports?
You don't have to be a cynic to think that the leagues and their owners want a piece of that very big betting pie. I'm glad Adam is putting the hypocrisy behind us and putting it all up front. Cuban has suggested that one way of monetizing that interest is to charge sportsbooks and casinos licensing fees to use the league's data. In some areas of Australia, for example, sportsbooks pay fees to leagues based on the gross revenue made off the wagering of the games.
The opportunity for additional streams of capital from sports betting can't be lost on U. Or on Silver, who gained extensive knowledge of foreign revenue models during his time overseas. Studying models is one thing. Actually establishing a legal framework is another. While the NBA is still fighting in the courts to keep New Jersey from setting up its own sports-betting operation, three other states New York, Indiana and South Carolina have introduced similar bills this year, and a Minnesota state representative, Phyllis Kahn, has told ESPN that she'll be introducing a sports-betting proposal early in this legislative session.
A united front among all the leagues would certainly help Silver's cause for a federal solution. The other leagues have -- at least publicly -- not wavered from their anti-legalization stance after the op-ed. MLB declined to comment for this story, and the NFL refused to even reiterate its anti-legalization stance. Does it become a vehicle for betting, which may in effect change the atmosphere in the arenas? But multiple sources with direct knowledge of meetings between the leagues believe the NHL is much more open to legalization than Bettman's comments indicate.
In the meantime, Silver is willing to take the lead on an issue that some liken to the legalization of marijuana -- socially acceptable but mostly illegal. That's yet another reason I think it needs to be closely monitored. Silver says he hasn't set a timetable for the day when we can legally bet on a Cavaliers-Heat game. But you can bet all interested parties -- the other leagues, the states, the bookmakers, the bettors -- are following the developments as closely as they would a point spread.
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